What we’re looking at in 2022

The pandemic that never seems to end will likely dominate our attention in 2022, along with President Biden’s difficult agenda and Donald Trump’s continued grip on the GOP.

  • Here are the other authors of the Axios newsletter and expert reporters will watch – from interest rates to big tech reviews to whether last year’s climate commitments will lead to meaningful action this year. (Sign up for their newsletters here.)

Politics: A year after January 6, and as the redistribution resets the board, Donald Trump’s loyalty tests could fracture or radicalize the GOP. Meanwhile, Democrats’ inability to change filibuster or enact voting rights protections – along with their own fractures and lower approval ratings for President Biden – could exile them from power in November. – Marguerite Talev

Business: The big story of the year is going to be interest rates, both nominal and real. How much will the Fed raise rates – and how much will rates stay negative once you adjust for inflation? If inflation remains high, even a series of rate hikes will leave real rates deep in negative territory, reinforcing the impression that all central banks are dovish these days. – Felix Salmon

Technology: Big tech is expected to continue to come under pressure from regulators and lawmakers around the world, as well as continued internal pressure from workers who want their employers to do better. Once again, a blocked Congress means states and Europe are likely to take the lead on the legislative front. – Ina Fried

Media: The media and entertainment sectors continued to experience high consolidation volume in 2021, linked to the rise of streaming. In 2022, we’ll take a look at how these deals will shape the streaming ecosystem. In particular, we will see the formation of a new media giant through the combination of Discovery and WarnerMedia. – Sara Fischer

Job: Companies have spent 2021 trying to figure out what hybrid work would look like after the pandemic, but new variations continue to foil their plans to get people back to offices. Now, they’re hoping 2022 will be the year we finally settle into our post-COVID world of work – and how that will affect everything from downtown reclamation to how we move. – Erica Pandey

Health care: As Omicron spreads around the world, global vaccination rates will take on a new urgency. However, with improving vaccination rates and the development of new antiviral treatments, there is still a possibility that the pandemic will reach a “endemic“Disease level – which means the population has gained some immunity, but the virus continues to circulate and cause more localized epidemics.” – Tina Reed

Energy: Watch for progress, or lack thereof, in meeting climate commitments. The Glasgow summit ended a busy year of new emission reduction commitments, but the big steps to turn them into reality are less certain. We will also monitor emerging science as crucial new IPCC reports are deployed and track relentless extreme weather and climate events. – Ben Geman and Andrew Freedman

Local: Cities in the United States will experience continued transformation in response to the pandemic and other crises, such as climate change. Slowing pedestrian traffic in city centers and persistent staff shortages could forever change the way local businesses are run. Meanwhile, a greater emphasis on public transport and electric vehicles could reshape the way we get from point A to point B. – Emma Way

World: 2022 will be a year of seismic elections. In France, President Emmanuel Macron hopes to push back the far right, while in Brazil, far-right President Jair Bolsonaro is fighting for his survival. Term limits mean new presidents will be elected in South Korea, Colombia, the Philippines and Kenya – all before Americans go to the polls for the midterm elections in November. -Dave Lawler

China: 2021 saw the entrenchment of deep animosity between the United States and China – and a growing chill in relations between China and European nations. In 2022, will Beijing and Washington be able to find a sustainable and peaceful way to deal with their differences, or will the world be locked in another great power struggle? – Bethany Allen-Ebrahimian

Race and justice: The mid-terms of 2022 are expected to focus on increasing crime in cities, ongoing criminal justice reform and voting rights. The Tories have indicated they will use diversity lessons in classrooms and the quest for police reform as corner issues. But the newly energized voters of color, a growing electorate in the United States, could stop this backlash – if they go to the polls. – Russell Contreras

Space: The launch of the James Webb Space Telescope marks a new era for space science. We will be monitoring the first results of the mission as well as the discoveries of several other new probes aimed at the Moon, asteroids, Jupiter and more. – Miriam Kramer and Alison Snyder

Game : Major console and PC game publishers face a pivotal time in 2022 as industry liners try to take a direction that can offset the growing cost of creating successful games. We’ll see more famous game franchises appear on mobile, and we may well know if the $ 2 billion and more invested in the controversial and unproven NFT gaming industry is a boom leading to a collapse. – Étienne Totilo

Sports: The most important story this year will be the evolution of the college sport model. Last year brought the long-awaited change that allows student-athletes to earn money through their name, image and likeness. It will be fascinating to see how this industry develops and influences recruiting, especially as the NCAA shifts more governance responsibilities to its conferences. – Jeff Tracy


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